Novelda CF vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
NOV
2 - 1
HER
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CEP
0 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NOV
4 - 1
ONT
34%
28%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
TER
2 - 1
NOV
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
1 - 1
HOS
37%
27%
37%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
GIM
2 - 2
LOR
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LOR
1 - 1
FIG
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SAB
1 - 1
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LOR
1 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
37%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |