Novelda CF vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
XER
2 - 1
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
NOV
5 - 2
MEL
32%
32%
36%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
NOV
0 - 2
ELC
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
LOR
3 - 1
POL
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
SEV
3 - 2
LOR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
LOR
0 - 2
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
MAL
3 - 2
LOR
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
LOR
1 - 1
GRA
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |