Novelda CF vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 0
NOV
40%
29%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
2 - 1
HER
34%
30%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
OSA
0 - 0
NOV
43%
29%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 3
ALC
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
LEV
0 - 0
NOV
44%
28%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
GIR
1 - 1
FIG
59%
24%
17%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAB
1 - 1
GIR
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GIR
2 - 2
AZK
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 1
GIR
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GIR
0 - 2
VIJ
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |