Novelda CF vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ALZ
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
SIL
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ELD
2 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
JOV
44%
26%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ELC
0 - 0
PAT
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
ELC
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ELC
0 - 1
ROD
40%
25%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ATZ
2 - 1
ELC
56%
24%
21%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAG
1 - 1
ELC
60%
23%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |