Novelda CF vs Carrús UD Ilicitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+608%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
5 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 3
RED
34%
25%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NUD
1 - 4
NOV
50%
23%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 4
UNI
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASP
3 - 2
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Carrús UD Ilicitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
BEN
55%
23%
22%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 2
UNI
70%
19%
12%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
CRE
18%
24%
58%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
RED
2 - 0
UNI
70%
17%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |