Novelda CF vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+287%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 3
ONT
45%
26%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LEV
3 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
NOV
51%
23%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 2
NOV
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
5 - 1
JOV
70%
20%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
2 - 2
CAS
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
CAS
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
TOR
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
TRO
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |