Novelda CF vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
GRA
0 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
NOV
2 - 2
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
UBC
0 - 1
NOV
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
NOV
2 - 0
CEP
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
FIG
3 - 1
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 0
GAN
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
MLL
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALZ
64%
22%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
HOS
2 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIM
49%
25%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |