Novelda CF vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
NUC
24%
27%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
SIL
44%
25%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ELD
1 - 2
NOV
66%
20%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
ELC
42%
26%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SAG
3 - 1
PAI
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NUC
0 - 0
SAG
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SAG
0 - 0
ALZ
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
SAG
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 0
VIL
74%
18%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |