Novelda CF vs Almoradí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CRE
5 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 4
VIJ
23%
22%
54%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 0
NOV
81%
14%
5%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 3
ATL
7%
16%
78%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Almoradí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAL
21%
23%
55%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALM
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 1
THD
23%
23%
55%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALM
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 2
ELD
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |