Novelda CF vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ALM
0 - 2
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
ORI
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
CRE
3 - 2
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 2
ELD
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +4 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAL
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
AGU
10 - 2
CAL
46%
22%
32%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
HER
7 - 0
AGU
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
AGU
3 - 0
RAY
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
LOR
4 - 0
AGU
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
AGU
1 - 1
CFC
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |