Novelda B vs Peña Madridista de Ibi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novelda B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
XIX
0 - 2
NOV
27%
20%
53%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
CAS
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
NOV
60%
19%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 3
PET
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ONI
3 - 0
NOV
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Madridista de Ibi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUC
3 - 1
PEA
30%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEA
3 - 1
XIX
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
PEA
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEA
1 - 2
ATL
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PET
4 - 3
PEA
66%
17%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |