Novara U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 4
NOV
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 2
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
FIO
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
NOV
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2008 |
PAR
4 - 2
SPE
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 1
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PIS
1 - 3
SPE
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 0
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 1
SPE
58%
23%
20%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |