Novara U19 vs Parma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
NOV
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
CRE
59%
20%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
NOV
23%
22%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
NOV
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
4 - 1
PRO
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Parma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 3
VIR
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
SPE
26%
23%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
5 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
VEN
20%
20%
61%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |