Novara U19 vs Modena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
SIE
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 4
NOV
51%
23%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 5
EMP
33%
24%
43%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
NOV
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 1
JUV
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Modena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAS
27%
24%
50%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
EMP
4 - 1
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |