Novara U19 vs Livorno U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 2
NOV
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
NOV
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
SAS
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EMP
3 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
3 - 0
GEN
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Livorno U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 3
JUV
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAS
2 - 2
LIV
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 4
EMP
23%
27%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FIO
1 - 1
LIV
78%
15%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
MOD
74%
18%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |