Novara U19 vs Carpi U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 1
NOV
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
BOL
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 1
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAS
2 - 3
NOV
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Carpi U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
SAS
23%
22%
56%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
CES
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
EMP
1 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 3
JUV
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |