Novara U19 vs Siena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EMP
4 - 3
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
38%
24%
37%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 3
SPE
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 4
NOV
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Siena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
SIE
61%
23%
16%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 1
EMP
33%
27%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
EMP
32%
27%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |