Novara vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAR
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 1
VIC
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
VIC
3 - 3
BRI
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
VIC
0 - 3
JUV
21%
29%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SAM
2 - 1
VIC
47%
30%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAG
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |