Novara vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 3
TER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 0
NOV
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
CES
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
NOV
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ACD
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 1
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
VNZ
1 - 2
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 1
VNZ
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |