Novara vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LEC
2 - 3
NOV
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CAV
2 - 0
VNZ
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
USF
1 - 0
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VNZ
1 - 0
VER
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |