Novara vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAG
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 2
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 2
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 1
TRI
45%
26%
28%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
VER
0 - 2
NOV
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
VNZ
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 2
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
REG
0 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
0 - 0
TAR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |