Novara vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NOV
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
NOV
0 - 0
INT
27%
23%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
SAM
3 - 0
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BOL
1 - 1
NOV
65%
18%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
VNZ
2 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
VNZ
1 - 1
PAL
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
VNZ
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
JUV
1 - 0
VNZ
80%
12%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
VNZ
3 - 7
SAM
35%
24%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |