Novara vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
NAP
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
JUV
0 - 0
NOV
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 3
INT
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAL
63%
20%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
SPA
0 - 0
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
TRI
1 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ATL
4 - 2
TRI
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
TRI
2 - 1
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
FIO
1 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |