Novara vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 1
NOV
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 0
FIO
43%
26%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1949 |
NOV
0 - 0
JUV
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
3 - 2
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAL
4 - 0
TRI
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 0
ROM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |