Novara vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
LIV
1 - 1
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 4
INT
31%
26%
42%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
NAP
2 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 0
NAP
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 1
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |