Novara vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 3
NOV
13%
22%
65%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 1
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 2
PIS
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PON
0 - 2
LEO
29%
27%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ACD
2 - 1
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRO
59%
25%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEO
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |