Novara vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
ABN
1 - 1
NOV
37%
29%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
PIA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
LEC
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JS2
2 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
GRO
1 - 0
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 2
GRO
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
GRO
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
GRO
0 - 1
JS2
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 0
GRO
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |