Novara vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
24.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
BAR
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
NOV
3 - 0
LIV
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOV
46%
30%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 1
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
LAZ
5 - 2
NOV
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
USF
0 - 0
BRE
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
USF
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
USF
2 - 0
CES
65%
24%
12%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
TER
2 - 0
USF
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
USF
0 - 0
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |