Novara vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
34%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
NOV
3 - 0
LIV
41%
31%
28%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
NOV
0 - 1
MES
46%
29%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1968 |
USF
2 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1968 |
USF
0 - 0
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
MES
1 - 0
USF
33%
32%
35%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
PIS
1 - 0
USF
41%
30%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |