Novara vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
USA
5 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
USF
0 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
USA
3 - 2
USF
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
USF
0 - 0
ASS
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
VNZ
2 - 0
USF
52%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
BAR
3 - 1
USF
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |