Novara vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
CAV
1 - 1
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 1
VNZ
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
NOV
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
40%
29%
32%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
UNI
3 - 1
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 0
USC
29%
27%
45%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
USC
3 - 3
USF
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAS
1 - 2
USC
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
USC
2 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CTT
3 - 1
USC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |