Novara vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAT
1 - 0
NOV
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
CAG
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 1
AVE
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
SAL
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |