Novara vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
CAT
4 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
BAR
0 - 0
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
TAR
2 - 1
USA
48%
25%
26%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
USA
1 - 1
VNZ
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
USA
4 - 1
SSS
70%
17%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |