Novara vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
NOV
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
NOV
27%
29%
44%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAD
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
31%
29%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 2
SAS
58%
25%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CRO
1 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
CTT
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
TOR
38%
28%
33%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |