Novara vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
COM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
NOV
1 - 2
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
LAZ
1 - 3
NOV
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
1 - 2
INT
26%
22%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
PRO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
INT
1 - 3
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TOR
0 - 3
UDI
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
SAM
1 - 0
TOR
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |