Novara vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
61.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ACM
4 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 1
NOV
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
TOR
23%
23%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
TOR
1 - 0
LAZ
91%
6%
3%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
35%
23%
41%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
92%
6%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
JUV
1 - 2
TOR
42%
23%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |