Novara vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
MOD
4 - 1
NOV
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACL
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
TOR
0 - 1
LAZ
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 3
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
GEN
1 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
FIO
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
TOR
37%
26%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |