Novara vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
3 - 1
NOV
60%
20%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
3 - 4
USA
57%
21%
23%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
3 - 3
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
NOV
5 - 1
ROM
20%
20%
60%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 1
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1937 |
ROM
1 - 1
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
TOR
2 - 0
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
GEN
2 - 2
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
ASL
3 - 1
TOR
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |