Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAG
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
RIM
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
SSS
2 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
TER
0 - 1
SPA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
TER
62%
25%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
TER
0 - 0
COM
35%
30%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |