Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
SSS
1 - 1
NOV
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOV
37%
31%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
BRE
53%
28%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VAR
0 - 0
NOV
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
NOV
3 - 0
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
BRE
2 - 1
TER
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
TER
0 - 3
GEN
56%
27%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
TER
3 - 1
BRI
70%
22%
8%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
TER
43%
30%
28%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
TER
0 - 1
CAT
71%
21%
8%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |