Novara vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
27.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAS
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
MOD
3 - 1
NOV
47%
30%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
40%
31%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
48%
31%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
ARZ
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 0
TER
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
COM
2 - 1
TER
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |