Novara vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ACL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAD
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PIZ
1 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TER
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
TER
4 - 0
CTT
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
TER
47%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
TER
3 - 2
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
RAV
1 - 0
TER
46%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |