Novara vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
USF
48%
30%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 2
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 1
GEN
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
TER
1 - 1
NOV
61%
24%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 0
SSS
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 0
TAR
68%
21%
10%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 1
TAR
53%
26%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
TAR
1 - 1
MOD
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |