Novara vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
15.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 1
NOV
61%
25%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
NOV
0 - 0
USF
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
28%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
NOV
2 - 3
BRI
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
46%
30%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 1
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
PRG
39%
33%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
COM
3 - 0
TAR
63%
25%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
51%
30%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |