Novara vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
NOV
1 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
ACM
0 - 1
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 1
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
CAT
0 - 0
NOV
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
MES
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SSS
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 0
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
SSS
1 - 1
PAR
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |