Novara vs Juve Stabia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 4
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
EMP
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
NOV
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
NOV
4 - 3
ACL
75%
16%
8%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Juve Stabia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 1
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
JUS
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 3
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
JUS
1 - 1
SAM
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUS
3 - 0
FRO
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |