Novara vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSS
46%
30%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NOV
2 - 1
LEC
32%
30%
38%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
RIM
2 - 1
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
VIC
1 - 1
NOV
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
SPA
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |