Novara vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
16.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 2
VAR
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
AVE
3 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
68%
21%
10%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 3
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SPA
48%
30%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
SPA
3 - 1
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 0
SPA
44%
32%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 2
TER
52%
29%
19%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |