Novara vs Sestri Levante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
NOV
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SNR
0 - 0
NOV
7%
16%
77%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 1
LIG
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
NOV
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRO
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sestri Levante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SES
1 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 1
SES
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
SES
1 - 0
GOZ
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ACS
0 - 1
SES
20%
23%
58%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SES
1 - 2
FOS
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |