Novara vs Sassari Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAV
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
ACL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 0
PIS
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sassari Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
0 - 1
FRO
24%
26%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
FIA
1 - 1
SAS
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 1
ACI
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAS
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SAS
0 - 0
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |